Overview
Last night a cold front brought peak wind, with temperatures dropping dramatically. Today, expect to see more breeze, cold temps, and fading breeze throughout the day as we transition from the clearing low pressure into a high system to the west. Interestingly this could bring left shift as the high moves closer, which is unusual for a clearing cold front in Miami. Very little wind shear is present, so the weather shoreline is likely to make the left strong on the aggregate. With offshore flow, expect a puffy, shifty race course with more wind away from land.
Weather Analysis
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Little variation in wind direction down low versus aloft today, and fairly stable wind direction throughout the day today mean that offshore shift patterns and geographic effects will dominate today.
Overall, expect a shifty day and trust your eyes. With that said, the weather shoreline may cause the left to be stronger in aggregate. The local knowledge in this wind direction is that the left pays when the wind is left of the Miami skyline.
Boat Handling Day
With big breeze, clean boat handling will be very important, so avoid port tack layline, and keep your lives simple by looking for low density positions on the starting line.
Summary
Overall, expect a puffy, shifty day with a slowly fading breeze throughout the day.
A small left trend may be present, which may correspond with clearing skys (fewer clouds).
Edges of the fleet will be high percentage in the gradient breeze, but most important will be staying lifted with the fleet.
Largely a boat handling day - trust your eyes strategically, and put the boat in spots where it’s easy to execute good boat handling.
Outlook
Expect a tapering breeze Sunday, slightly farther right, but still flat water
